Book Review: 5/5 Impact On Me (Book By Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner)
Read more about the book here
I understand two viewpoints before reading this book. First, project planning is loved by many, including organizations and governments. Second, we're bad at predicting the future. People often overrate the short-term effects of new tech like AI, and underrate long-term effects, like with the Internet. But, this book offered methods to get better at forecasting. To be more accurate. It also points out how vague language is used to cover up bad predictions. Like when someone says, "We have a strong hunch that there might be weapons of mass destruction.